[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the downside and pull back from 85.51 short term top could extend further lower. But downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 84.42 minor resistance will flip intraday bias back to the upside for 85.51 resistance. Break will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the downside and pull back from 85.51 short term top could extend further lower. But downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 84.42 minor resistance will flip intraday bias back to the upside for 85.51 resistance. Break will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.