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Winning Stratgies استراتيجات فوركس
السلام عليكم ورحمة الله تعالى وبركاته بسم الله الرحمان الرحيم Winning stratgies فكرة خطرت على بالي و ارى ان فيها افادة ان شاء الله لكل المتداولين المهتمين بالتعلم و المحبين لامتلاك سلح التعلم و هو الوسيلة الوحيدة للنجاح.. و رغبتي في المزيد من التعلم احببت ان ارفق في كل مرة مقتطفات من كتاب مفيد باللغة الانجليزية من البداية حتى النهاية للمتداول المبتدأ و المحترف.. بين كل فقرة سيكون هناك وقت مستقطع للفهم و تثبيت المعلومة..ولمن يريد التعلم و يناقش فهده هي الفرصة.. الباب مفتوح لمن اراد ترجمة كل فقرة يتم ارفاقها شرط ان تكون الترجمة دات جودة عالية.. فمرحبا بكم معنا هنا في هده الجولة التعليمية:1 (77): البداية Getting Started .Forex (or FX) refers to the foreign exchange markets, where currencies are traded It is the biggest and fastest growing financial market in the world, with an average daily turnover of almost $2 trillion – many times the total traded volume of the US .stock exchanges The forex market consists of a worldwide wired network of buyers and sellers of currencies, with trading all done over-the-counter (OTC), which means that there is no central exchange and clearinghouse where orders are matched. If you are looking for 24-hour action, you can find it in this global trading system, where no physical barriers exist and activity moves seamlessly from one major financial .centre to another A reason why there is a veil of mystery over forex is that the market was once the ,exclusive playground of banks, hedge funds, corporations and financial institutions ,where money changed hands for commercial and speculative purposes. However forex has now expanded and is easily accessible to all traders with the rapid emergence of online currency trading platforms. Many of these platforms are wellequipped with free charting software, real-time news-feeds and easy-to-use order placing systems The wide availability of sophisticated technology has spawned a whole new level of foreign exchange, where self-directed (so-called “retail”) traders can easily buy ,and sell currencies through an internet connection with a click of the mouse dealing with invisible counter-parties on the other side of the transaction. This group of people (also known as speculative traders) engage in trading forex for the sole purpose of making profits Welcome to the new world of online forex trading The rapid fluctuations of currency exchange rates are what attract speculators to the forex market as currencies are highly sensitive, and thus react very fast to changing economic conditions of countries or regions, changing interest rates and political happenings around the world. Sometimes central banks of countries attempt to intervene in the forex market if the policy-makers feel that their country’s currency is too strong or too weak for their own good. All these factors lead to high volatility of currency prices, which can be taken advantage of by traders who speculate on .the direction and magnitude of the current and future price move I would like to point out that while movements in certain currency pairs can be ,quite volatile in nature, most major currencies generally move less than 1% daily which is much lower than that of active stocks, which can easily move between5 10%per day. For a rough guide of currency pairs and their relative volatility, refer .to Figure 1.1 under “Warming Up” in the later part of this chapter Forex has increasingly become an extremely attractive alternative asset group for speculators to trade, in addition to the usual staple of stocks and futures Anyone can trade forex, but not every one can be profitable. That’s the rule of any game – not every one can win |
رد: Winning Stratgies
فعلا فكرة رائعة.. من المتابعين ان شاء الله...
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رد: Winning Stratgies
فكرة موفقة ان شاء الله . |
رد: Winning Stratgies
Trading Time Frames Before you enter into a position, you need to know – beforehand – when you are ,going to exit the market. A trader is not going to hold onto a position indefinitely that’s for sure. Knowing the time frame of how long you wish to hold onto your open position will determine your exit points and prices. If you choose to hold a position for, say, a week, your profit objective would naturally be higher than if you were to hold it for a few hours because you would expect the price to move further given the longer period of time This is a personal decision which has to be made by the trader, depending on his or her risk tolerance level, lifestyle desired, and the amount of time to be dedicated to analyzing the market :There are mainly four different types of trading time frames 1scalping 2day trading 3swing trading 4position trading :These are explained below 1Scalping This is the shortest time frame in trading; it exploits small changes in currency prices. It describes the ultra-rapid action of opening and closing of a position within a few seconds or minutes, with the aim of stealing a few pips from each trade. The profit of the winning trade is small, while the number of such winning trades should be big enough so that these small profits can add up to a decent amount Scalpers usually need to have access to the tightest spreads and fastest connection speeds possible, in order to carry out this bullet-speed trading with the tiny profits They tend to do this many times a day so as to accumulate the little profits that are harvested Losses must be limited such that one large loss does not wipe out the profits gained from many winning trades Many forex market makers discourage this type of trading as they find it difficult to cover the opposite side of the transactions, given the fast speed and numerous orders entered into their systems |
رد: Winning Stratgies
2Day trading Day trading is one of the more popular types of trading, whereby traders open and close positions within a day. They also do not hold their positions overnight because of the added risk of not knowing if prices would change dramatically while they sleep. The holding period of their trades may range from minutes to hours Day trading relies heavily on intraday momentum to bring the current price to the desired price level in one direction. Day traders are looking out for signs that a currency pair has a high probability of moving in a particular direction, going from point X to point Y, within a day regardless of whether the price is moving in a trend or range Day traders tend to wait for good trading opportunities, instead of trading frantically like scalpers tend to do. This style of trading involves intense concentration from the trader as positions must be closely monitored on the price charts 3Swing trading Swing traders hold their positions for a few days, but seldom more than a week Identifying and riding on trends early is the central objective of this trading style and the profit objective tends to be set higher than that of day trading since the swing trader is expecting that by holding out for a few days, there is a better chance of capturing a larger price move. Unlike the day trader, the swing trader has to endure overnight risk As swing trading requires much less minute-to-minute monitoring of the market .this type of trading is generally preferred by people who hold day jobs My opinion is that swing traders must still keep up-to-date with the latest fundamental and technical changes in the market, even when they are not .monitoring the market all the time 4Position trading Position trading spans the longest period of time, and refers to traders holding their position for weeks or even months. Position traders seek to identify and trade currency pairs that signal that a medium to long term trend is playing out – but will take more than a few days to play out. Their positions are usually closed before the trend runs out of power. This trading time frame is the least time-consuming one among all the different ones, as there is not much need for intensive monitoring. Many position traders place a trailing stop which automatically closes their position if the price retraces past a particular point Choosing a time-frame As a general rule of thumb: the smaller the time frame you trade then the more time is needed to be devoted to monitoring the markets Someone who day trades tends to be more in touch with the price swings and goings-on of the market as positions are opened and closed during the same day Whereas at the end of the spectrum, a position trader does not have to monitor the market so intensively Risk-wise, I would say that the longer the time frame used in trading, the more risk has to be assumed by the trader. This is simply because the market has more time to move against them, and can move much further against them than it can in a smaller time frame Many of the strategies mentioned in this book are meant for short-term trading However, you may decide on the length of your holding period to suit your personal preference by adjusting the profit target and stop-loss accordingly. Of course, the size of profit objective and stop-loss will be proportional to the length of your holding period – the shorter your time frame, the smaller your profit target and stop-loss should be; the longer the trading time frame, the wider your profit target .and stop-loss can be |
رد: Winning Stratgies
اقتباس:
اقتباس:
شكرا لمروركم..واتمنى لكم متابعة مفيدة والتي انا على يقين ان من طبق ماسيتابعه هنا سيكون من المتداولين الناجحين ان شاء الله.. |
رد: Winning Stratgies
Strategy 1 Market Sentiment ? How do you view the forex market Do you see it as a big mechanical matrix which is devoid of emotionsOr do you think of it in mathematical and probability terms? Perhaps, you may even view it as just a vast network of computers which are designed to cheat the trader sitting in front of his or her computer and trading electronically. Most traders I know have a love-hate relationship with the forex market, thinking that the market is, in turn, either against them or for them To me, the forex market is nothing more than the compressed display of emotions at any one time emanating from currency speculators around the world. It is similar to a big living organism, like a human being, which is made up of numerous cells with each cell carrying out its own function and interacting with other cells of the body, working to keep the body alive with round-the-clock chemical and biological processes The forex market is alive as a macro living organism, which comprises a vast number of market participants acting out their perceptions and emotions, thus driving the blood around the invisible entity. The participation of each player whether the player is an institutional dealer or an independent trader, is akin to the individual functioning of a cell, which collectively will constitute the whole organism – the forex market in this case. Knowing what the market thinks and how it thinks is crucial to trading success because, ultimately, the trader is dealing with other traders out there, and needs to know what they are thinking. Even if you see the market as an enemy, what could be better than knowing the weak points and ?being able to read the mind of your adversary In this chapter, I shall focus on how you can better understand the market, and use .that knowledge as one of your trading weapons |
رد: Winning Stratgies
?What Is Market Sentiment Market sentiment is simply what the majority of the market is perceived to be thinking or feeling about the market – it is the most important factor that drives the currency market This is so because traders tend to act based on what they feel and think of certain currencies, regarding their strength or weakness relative to other currencies. I will assume that when you trade currencies, you don’t blindfold yourself to simply pick any pair to buy or sell, leaving it to randomness to determine your profit/loss statement at the end of the day or month Market sentiment sums up the overall dominating emotion of the majority of the market participants, and explains the current actions of the market, as well as the future course of actions of the market. The trend adopted by the forex market is actually a reflection of the current market sentiment, which in turn guides the .trading decisions of other traders, whether they should long or short a currency pair In the process of making educated trading decisions, traders have to weigh a multitude of factors which could influence the bias of a currency, before making up their minds about the current and future state of certain currencies. One thing to note is that market sentiment is not logical; it is primarily based on traders’ emotions, which is really one of the greatest, if not the greatest, factor in the determination of a currency exchange rate There are three main types of sentiment when it comes to forming opinions in the :forex market 1bullish 2bearish or 3just plain confused If the majority of the market wants to sell that currency, the market sentiment is deemed to be bearish; if the majority wants to buy that currency, the market sentiment is bullish; and when most market participants are unsure of what to do at the moment, the sentiment ends up being mixed. Since the US dollar is the currency on the opposite side of 80% of all foreign exchange transactions, most traders will be concerned with what the market thinks about the US dollar. Currency prices simply embody the market’s perceptions of reality and the sum total of traders’ emotions Market sentiment acts like a fickle lover, capable of changing its mind based on certain incoming new information which can upset the existing sentiment. One moment everyone could be buying the US dollar in anticipation of a stronger dollar; the next second they could all be dumping it as they fear the dollar would start to weaken due to the impact of some new piece of information, which is almost always some fundamental news Understanding the current market sentiment and exploiting it appropriately with the other strategies discussed in this book can help maximise your trading profits because if you can guess what the other market players are thinking about, and understand why the market is doing what it is doing, you will be in a better position to plan your entry and exit points and timing |
رد: Winning Stratgies
What Factors Influence Market ?Sentiment Interest rates Trends in interest rates are one of the most significant factors influencing market sentiment, as interest rates play a huge role affecting the supply and demand of currencies Every currency in the world has interest rates attached to them, and these rates are decided by central banks. For example, the Fed in the US determines the country’s interest rates; the Bank of Japan (BOJ) sets Japan’s interest rates; the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) decides on New Zealand’s interest rates and so on. Some currencies have higher interest rates than others, and these are usually the currencies that attract the most attention from savvy international investors who are always looking across the global landscape in the continual search for a better interest rate yield on fixed-income investments. This, of course, also depends on the geopolitical or economic risks of that particular currency. Just like when a bank lends money to a higher-risk borrower, high-risk currencies require a significantly higher interest rate for investors to consider keeping money in those currencies ?What causes fluctuations in interest rates The value of money can and does decrease when there is an upward revision of prices of most goods and services in a country. Generally, when a country’s economy expands or when energy costs go up, goods ranging from clothing, food to computers, and services ranging from public transport to spa treatments get more expensive, thus eroding the value of money. The nice word for this erosion in value is, of course, inflation Controlling inflation Central banks are responsible for ensuring price stability in their own country, and one of the ways they employ to fight inflationary pressures is through the setting of interest rates. If inflation risks are seen to be edging upward in, say, the US, the Fed would raise the federal funds rate, which is the rate at which banks charge each other for overnight loans. When the overnight rate is changed, retail banks will change their prime lending rates accordingly, hence affecting businesses and individuals. An increase in interest rates is an attempt to make money more expensive to borrow so that there will be a gradual decrease in demand for that currency, thus slowing down an overheated economy. The opposite scenario is true too: when a country faces deflation, or even decreased inflation, which is often the result of decreased spending, whether by the government, consumers or investors it prompts the central bank to lower interest rates so as to stimulate spending Interest rates and currencies The most important way in which interest rates can influence currency prices is through the widespread practice of the carry trade A carry trade involves the borrowing and subsequent selling of a certain currency with a relatively low interest rate, then using the funds to buy a currency which gives a higher interest rate, in an attempt to gain the difference between these two rates – which is known as the interest rate differential. The trader is paid interest on the currency he or she is long in, and must pay interest on the currency he or she is shorting. This difference is the cost of carry. Therefore, a currency with a higher interest rate tends to be highly sought after by investors looking for a higher return on their investments Rising interest rates in a country tends to strengthen that country’s currency relative to other currencies as investors exchange other currencies to buy the currency of that country when they transfer their assets into the country with the higher interest rates. The increased demand for that particular currency will thus push up the currency price against other currencies For instance, in 2005 there was a strong interest among Japanese investors to invest in New Zealand dollar-denominated assets due to rising interest rates in New Zealand. The then near-zero interest rates in Japan forced a lot of Japanese investors to look outside of their country for better yields on cash deposits or fixedincome instruments. See New Zealand Dollar/Japanese Yen (Nov 2004 – Dec 2005 نتابع |
رد: Winning Stratgies
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